Integrating non-stationarity and uncertainty in design life levels based on climatological time series
Published in Weather and Climate Extremes, 2025
Recommended citation: Occitane Barbaux, Philippe Naveau, Nathalie Bertrand, Aurélien Ribes, Integrating non-stationarity and uncertainty in design life levels based on climatological time series, Weather and Climate Extremes, Volume 50, 2025, 100807, ISSN 2212-0947, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2025.100807. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094725000659
This paper presents some of my thesis methodological developments, the combined predictive equivalent reliability, which aims to keep design-period exceedance risk identical to existing practice in the context of non-stationary climate change, while including stochastic and estimation uncertainty. It is applied to Southern France annual maxima.
Recommended citation: Occitane Barbaux, Philippe Naveau, Nathalie Bertrand, Aurélien Ribes, Integrating non-stationarity and uncertainty in design life levels based on climatological time series, Weather and Climate Extremes, Volume 50, 2025, 100807, ISSN 2212-0947, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2025.100807.