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About me
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Short description of portfolio item number 1
Short description of portfolio item number 2 
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Poster presentation during a Workshop on (probabilistic) forecast and its verification.
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Poster presentation for fellow PhD researchers of the doctoral school.
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Published in Egusphere, 2025
This paper builds upon the technical developments presented in my thesis, including the use of MCMC chains, to propose a method and associated Python package for estimating the statistics of extreme temperatures in a Bayesian framework.
Recommended citation: Robin, Y., Vrac, M., Ribes, A., Barbaux, O., and Naveau, P.: A Bayesian statistical method to estimate the climatology of extreme temperature under multiple scenarios: the ANKIALE package, EGUsphere [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1121, 2025. https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2025/egusphere-2025-1121/
Published in Cover Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2025
This paper builds upon the technical developments presented in my thesis, including the use of MCMC chains, to propose an automatic and online attribution method for extreme events.
Recommended citation: Qasmi, S., A. Ribes, J. Cattiaux, O. Barbaux, Y. Robin, and W. Dulac, 2025: An automatic procedure for the attribution of extreme events at the global scale: a proof of concept for heatwaves. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., BAMS-D-24-0265.1, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0265.1, in press. https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/aop/BAMS-D-24-0265.1/BAMS-D-24-0265.1.xml
Published in Weather and Climate Extremes, 2025
This paper presents some of my thesis methodological developments, the combined predictive equivalent reliability, which aims to keep design-period exceedance risk identical to existing practice in the context of non-stationary climate change, while including stochastic and estimation uncertainty. It is applied to Southern France annual maxima.
Recommended citation: Occitane Barbaux, Philippe Naveau, Nathalie Bertrand, Aurélien Ribes, Integrating non-stationarity and uncertainty in design life levels based on climatological time series, Weather and Climate Extremes, Volume 50, 2025, 100807, ISSN 2212-0947, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2025.100807. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094725000659
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Master 1, École Nationale de la Météorologie, 2024
Praticals for class on “Climate and climate change”.
Master 1, École Nationale de la Météorologie, 2025
Class on “Unsupervised Classification”.